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2016年,全球经济长期继续保持低速发展态势。按照IMF最新预测,2015年全球经济增长3.1%,2016年和2017年分别增长3.4%和3.6%,经济复苏活动趋于缓慢。新的一年,全球经济仍处于调整之中,美国逐步退出量化宽松政策,新兴市场普遍放缓,大宗商品价格下跌。国内方面,投资颓势难改,房地产和制造业均处于去库存阶段;消费保持平稳。随着供给侧改革的推进,生产层面和金融链条的风险有待
In 2016, the global economy continued to maintain its low-speed development for a long period of time. According to the IMF’s latest forecast, the global economy will grow by 3.1% in 2015, an increase of 3.4% and 3.6% in 2016 and 2017, and economic recovery tends to be slow. In the new year, the global economy is still under adjustment. The United States has gradually withdrawn from the policy of quantitative easing. The emerging markets generally slow down and the prices of bulk commodities have dropped. On the domestic front, investment is in a downtrend and both real estate and manufacturing are in the process of destocking. Consumption has remained stable. With the reform of the supply side, the risks of the production level and the financial chain are yet to be seen