论文部分内容阅读
基于山东省经济发展与水资源禀赋现状,选取山东省1990～2010年样本区间经济增长与水资源消耗量的数据,构建时序变量GDP与耗水总量及各产业耗水量之间的协整关系模型和误差修正模型,对山东省经济增长与各类耗水量在时序维度进行变量间的长期均衡和短期修正行为研究。结果表明:山东省经济增长与工业耗水量和生活耗水量之间存在协整关系,而与总耗水量和农业耗水量不存在长期均衡关系。
Based on the present situation of economic development and water resource endowment in Shandong Province, the data of economic growth and water consumption in Shandong Province from 1990 to 2010 are selected to construct the cointegration relationship between the time-varying variable GDP, water consumption and water consumption of each industry Model and error correction model to study the long-term equilibrium and short-term correction of variables in the time-series between economic growth and water consumption in Shandong Province. The results show that there is a cointegration relationship between economic growth and industrial water consumption and domestic water consumption in Shandong Province, but no long-term equilibrium relationship with total water consumption and agricultural water consumption.