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自1998年以来我国经济中出现了通货紧缩的迹象,从1999的经济走势来看,确已进入了通货紧缩阶段,而且呈不断加剧之势。纵观国际经验,在现代市场经济条件下,各国政府历来都重视运用财政政策应对通货紧缩这一顽症结,罗斯福新政时期如此,这次东亚金融危机受害国也是如此。因此,如何运用有效的财政政策和手段来治理通货紧缩就是一个亟待解决的重大问题。一、治理我国的通货紧缩已刻不容缓判断是不是通货紧缩,一般有三种不同观点:一是认为通货紧缩是以价格是否全面持续下降为判断标准,我们称之为单因素论。我国商品零售价格总指数从1997年10月以来,已连续24个
Since 1998, China’s economy has shown signs of deflation. Judging from the economic trend in 1999, it has indeed entered the stage of deflation and is on the rise. Throughout international experience, under the modern market economy, all governments have always attached great importance to using fiscal policy to tackle the crux of deflation. This is the case during the New Deal of Roosevelt. This is also the case for the victims of the East Asian financial crisis. Therefore, how to use effective fiscal policies and measures to control deflation is a major issue to be solved urgently. First, it is imperative to govern China’s deflation to determine whether it is deflation. Generally speaking, there are three different viewpoints: First, we think that deflation is based on whether the price is declining in an all-round way. We call this one-factor theory. The total retail price index of China’s goods has been continuously 24 since October 1997