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投资者实际承受的风险与收益具有依存性,为了实现风险与收益的匹配,投资者根据风险评估与市场机会识别的结果,可以相机选择放弃投资或者进入新的投资领域,以调整资产组合,获得预期收益。那么,如何评估一个投资项目的内在价值,做出科学决策呢?传统的现金流量决策模型(Discounted Cash Flow,简称DCF)以货币的时间价值和风险价值理论为基础,认为投资项目的内在价值取决于未来现金流量和贴现率。
In order to match the risks and benefits, investors can choose to abandon investment or enter into new investment fields according to the result of risk assessment and market opportunity recognition to adjust the portfolio Expected return. So, how to evaluate the intrinsic value of an investment project and make scientific decisions? The traditional Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) is based on the time value of money and the theory of VaR and considers the intrinsic value of the investment project depends on Future cash flows and discount rates.