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1987年10月资本主义世界股市暴跌以后,许多人忧心忡忡,有些人断言,1988年美国将陷入一场新的周期性经济危机的漩涡,世界经济和世界贸易也将再次呈现萎缩。少数人甚至忧虑是否会发生类似1929—1933年的大危机。经济合作与发展组织、国际货币基金组织等国际经济组织也纷纷对1988年主要资本主义国家的经济增长率作了低调的预测。但是,1988年美国、日本和西欧主要国家的经济发展状况比人们普遍预期的要好得多。几乎所有的主要资本主义国家的经济增长速度都超过了本国政府和国际经济组织的原定目标和预测。1987年,主要资本主义国家虽然遭受股市暴跌的打击,但是企业投资和私人消费并没有受到太大的影响,世界贸易的发
Many people are worried after the collapse of the capitalist world stock market in October 1987. Some assert that the United States will plunge into a spiral of cyclical economic crisis in 1988 and the world economy and world trade will again show signs of contraction. A few even worry about whether a big crisis like 1929-1933 will occur. International economic organizations such as the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development and the International Monetary Fund also made low-key forecasts on the economic growth rate of the major capitalist countries in 1988. However, the economic development of major countries in the United States, Japan and Western Europe in 1988 was much better than people generally expected. Almost all major capitalist countries have exceeded the economic growth targets of their own governments and international economic organizations and their projections. In 1987, the major capitalist countries, which suffered the plunge of the stock market, did not suffer much from corporate investment and private consumption. The development of world trade