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基本金属价格在2006年~2007年初先后创历史新高后,价格回落主要是受到美国等西方国家经济放缓等周期性因素的冲击;而新兴市场消费需求的崛起和供应面临的长期瓶颈依然存在,在周期性因素减弱甚至西方经济再次加速的情况下,有色金属价格有望维持在历史高位甚至继续走高。
After the basic metal prices hit a record high from 2006 to early 2007, the price drop was mainly due to the cyclical factors such as the economic slowdown in the United States and other Western countries. The rise of consumer demand in emerging markets and the long-term bottleneck in supply still exist. Non-ferrous metals prices are expected to remain at historically high levels and even continue to rise as cyclical factors weaken and even the western economy accelerates again.