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2002年的有色金属市场在人们充满希望中开始,以美国为首的西方国家的经济的确出现了一定的复苏,但年中开始经济复苏基本夭折,所以金属市场也在经历了上半年的缓慢回升后出现调整。进入4季度后,人们对美国为首的西方国家的经济复苏重燃希望,在这种良好预期的推动下,以铜、铝和镍领头的基本金属再度上扬,也激发了大家对2003年市场前景的憧憬。下面从国际、国内市场状况来预测2003年期铝价格的走势。 1.国际——供应稳步增长,需求逐步提高。2002年全球原铝市场又有大量新的产能陆续投产,加上2001年中后期投产的新产能,这些近期投产的产能是导致2002
The non-ferrous metals market in 2002 started with people’s hope. The western countries headed by the United States did indeed recover some of their economies. However, the economic recovery basically broke off mid-year. As a result, the metal market also experienced a slow recovery in the first half of the year Adjustment appears. After entering the fourth quarter, the economic recovery in western countries led by the United States rekindled the hope that with such good expectations, the resurgence of base metals led by copper, aluminum and nickel will also stimulate everyone’s confidence in the market prospects in 2003 The vision. The following international and domestic market conditions to predict the trend of 2003 aluminum prices. 1. International - steady supply growth and increasing demand. In 2002, a great deal of new capacity was put into operation again in the global primary aluminum market. With the new capacity put into operation in mid-and late 2001, the capacity of these recently put into production is the result of 2002