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本文用2012年至2015年气象要素与杜鹃各发育期日期耦合分析杜鹃开花与各气象因子的关系,利用积温模型建立了阿尔山杜鹃湖景区杜鹃始花期与盛花期气象指标,运用2016物候观测自动化系统监测数据及自动拍摄的杜鹃生长图片、气象要素资料对指标进行了验证。同时根据杜鹃花期预报方法对旅游景区杜鹃花始放时间及最佳观赏期进行预报服务,预报提前量为30天、15天,误差天数不超过1天,预报结论与实际能够吻合。
In this paper, the relationship between the flowering of azalea and each meteorological factor was analyzed by the coupling of the meteorological elements and the dates of the developmental stages of the rhododendron from 2012 to 2015, and the meteorological indexes of flowering and flowering at rhododendron infested with Rhododendron Species in Arxan Lake were established by means of accumulated temperature model. System monitoring data and photographs of the growth of cuckoo pictures, meteorological elements of indicators to verify. At the same time, according to the forecast of rhododendron flowering, the azalea flowering time and the best ornamental time of the tourist scenic area are predicted, the forecasting advance is 30 days and 15 days, the error days are no more than 1 day, and the prediction conclusion is in accordance with the actual observation.