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世界经济仍在危机边缘徘徊,贸易保护正在成为主流语境。即使是WTO自身也面对危机和窘境,多哈回合谈判15年谈而未果,全球化似乎正让位于区域一体化。如果在全球贸易体系中最具分量的几个经济体,其争端无法在WTO框架下得到公平而妥善的解决,是对整个国际贸易体系规则的伤害。很多观察者已经在讨论贸易战的可能性,果真如此,一个全球贸易的冬天或将来临。
The world economy is still on the brink of crisis and trade protection is becoming the mainstream context. Even the WTO itself has faced crises and dilemmas, and the Doha Round talks failed 15 years ago. It seems that globalization is giving way to regional integration. If several of the most powerful economies in the global trading system are unable to find a fair and proper settlement of their dispute within the WTO framework, they will be hurt by the rules of the entire international trading system. Many observers are already discussing the possibility of a trade war, and if so, a winter of global trade may be coming.