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国家战略的制定和实施是行为体之间相互决策的互动过程。国家实现目标的能力也受到该历史时期的地理环境、技术、资源等物质性条件的制约。这些外部条件便构成了国家制定和实施国家战略的外部环境,即国际战略环境。国家在对国际战略环境进行充分研判的情况下,推动国际环境产生本国所期望的特定效应,以维护和拓展本国的国家利益。本报告将从和平、发展和治理三个维度来分析国际战略环境。本报告认为,尽管国际安全形势和多边经济体系的不确定性在不断增加,但国际体系的总体和平的态势可望维持。对于崛起中的中国而言,和平赤字、发展赤字、治理赤字仍然是实现国家战略面临的重要外部挑战。
The formulation and implementation of national strategies are the interactive process of mutual decision-making among actors. The ability of the state to achieve its goals is also constrained by the material conditions such as geography, technology and resources in the historical period. These external conditions constitute the external environment in which the State formulates and implements the national strategy, namely the international strategic environment. Under the condition of fully judging the international strategic environment, the state will push the international environment to produce the specific effects that the country expects in order to safeguard and expand its own national interest. This report will analyze the international strategic environment from the three dimensions of peace, development and governance. This report argues that while the international security situation and the uncertainties in the multilateral economic system are on the rise, the overall peace situation in the international system is expected to be maintained. For the rising China, the deficits of peace, the development of the deficit and the control of the deficit are still the important external challenges to the realization of the national strategy.