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尽管在伊拉克入侵科威特之后油价的上涨可能会导致严重的世界经济衰退,而且关税及贸易总协定乌拉圭回合贸易谈判的失败又加剧了这种趋势,但看来世界全球化的进程肯定是不可抗拒的。没有一个国家或国家集团能够逃避这种经济朝着更加相互依存方向发展的进程,它们只能相应地调整其国家政策。在这个大趋势面前,东盟必须转移它们那种至今仍以集体自力更生为前提与目标的战略重点。根据这一战略,东盟己力图(尽管几乎未见成效)集中其资源和共享其市场来达到更大程度的自力更生,以便更有力地对付诸如先进工业化国家实行保护贸易政策和其它歧视性贸易措施等的外来威胁。东盟应将其未来的战略转向共同努力从世界经济的全球化中获得最大的利益。应该把获得这种利益看成是其集中资源和共享市场的目的。根据这一战略,我们再也不应该以东盟内部的贸易与投资是否增长得比其对外的贸易与投资更快,而应该以东盟是否已能保持迅速的经济发展和增加其在世界经济中的比重和影响,来判断东盟的经济合作究竟是成功还是失败。
Although the rise in oil prices following the Iraq invasion of Kuwait could lead to a severe global economic recession and the failure of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (UCP), the failure of the Uruguay Round of trade negotiations exacerbated the trend, it appears that the process of global globalization is irresistible . No country or group of countries has been able to evade this process of economic development in a more interdependent manner and they can only adjust their national policies accordingly. In the face of this megatrend, ASEAN must shift their strategic priorities, which are still based on the premise and goal of collective self-reliance. Under this strategy, ASEAN has sought (to a lesser degree) to pool its resources and share its market to achieve greater self-reliance in order to deal more effectively with such measures as the protection of trade policies and other discriminatory trade practices in advanced industrialized countries The external threat. ASEAN should shift its future strategy toward making joint efforts to obtain the maximum benefit from the globalization of the world economy. This benefit should be seen as its purpose of pooling resources and sharing markets. According to this strategy, we should no longer consider whether intra-ASEAN trade and investment have grown faster than their foreign counterparts and investment. Instead, we should consider whether ASEAN has been able to maintain its rapid economic growth and increase its presence in the world economy Weight and impact of ASEAN economic cooperation to determine whether the success or failure of economic cooperation.