论文部分内容阅读
目的探讨昆山市手足口病的发病情况与气候因素的关系。方法登记2009年1月~2012年12月昆山市诊断为手足口病患儿5 160例,收集同期昆山市的气象资料,包括每个月的气温、气压、相对湿度、总雨量、总日照、风速、露点等。运用SPSS17.0统计软件对气象因素和手足口病发病资料进行单因素和多因素的线性回归分析。结果手足口病全年均可发病,但夏季高发,其次是春季,冬季明显减少。手足口病每个月的发病趋势与气温及露点的变化趋势相似,但与气压的变化趋势相反。单因素相关分析显示:昆山市手足口病发病趋势与昆山市的气温和露点呈正相关(r>0,P<0.05),与气压呈负相关(r<0,P<0.05),而与相对湿度、总雨量、总日照、风速无相关关系(P>0.05)。结论昆山市手足口病的发病具有明显的季节性,气象因素与手足口病发病密切相关,深入探讨气象因素与手足口病流行的关系,对建立疾病气象预警系统以及采取相对应的控制措施具有重要意义。
Objective To investigate the relationship between the incidence of hand-foot-mouth disease and climatic factors in Kunshan City. Methods To register 5 160 cases of hand-foot-mouth disease diagnosed in Kunshan City from January 2009 to December 2012. The meteorological data of Kunshan City were collected during the same period, including monthly temperature, air pressure, relative humidity, total rainfall, total sunshine, Wind speed, dew point and so on. SPSS 17.0 statistical software was used to analyze the incidence of meteorological factors and hand-foot-mouth disease by single-factor and multi-factor linear regression analysis. Results Hand, foot and mouth disease can occur throughout the year, but the high incidence in summer, followed by the spring, winter significantly reduced. The incidence trend of hand-foot-mouth disease in each month is similar to that of air temperature and dew point, but opposite to the change trend of air pressure. Univariate correlation analysis showed that the trend of HFMD in Kunshan was positively correlated with temperature and dew point in Kunshan (r> 0, P <0.05) and negatively correlated with air pressure (r <0, P <0.05) Humidity, total rainfall, total sunshine, wind speed no correlation (P> 0.05). Conclusion The incidence of HFMD in Kunshan City is obviously seasonal. The meteorological factors are closely related to the pathogenesis of HFMD. The relationship between meteorological factors and the prevalence of HFMD is discussed in depth. The establishment of early warning system for disease meteorology and the corresponding control measures Significance.