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国内外发展经验表明,资源富集区大都要经历“起步—成长—成熟—衰退或转型振兴”这四个发展阶段。在此过程中,如果非矿业经济发育不充分或停滞不前,受资源存量消耗制约,资源地区经济会随着资源的衰竭而衰退。相反,如果非资源经济在资源枯竭前得到充分发展,并成为支撑经济发展的优势产业,则县(区)域经济才会实现可持续发展。
Experience from both domestic and overseas development shows that most resource-intensive areas are going through four stages of development: “start-up-maturity-recession or rejuvenation”. In this process, if the non-mining economy is underdeveloped or stagnated and constrained by the depletion of the stock of resources, the regional economy will decline as resources fail. On the contrary, if the non-resource economy fully develops before the resource depletion and becomes the predominant industry supporting the economic development, the economy of the county (region) will achieve sustainable development.