对外贸易、制度变迁与地区经济增长的差异性

• 作 者: 何莉
• 机 构: 湖南商学院经济学系,
• 出 处: 财经科学
• 发表日期: 2008年08期
• 关键词: 对外贸易 经济增长 误差修正模型 差异性

国际经验表明对外贸易能促进制度变迁,从而加速经济增长。鉴于中国各地区对外贸易发展水平和结构非常不均衡,针对单一省份的实证检验显得更有意义。本文采用协整的向量误差修正模型,以省份为单位检验了对外贸易、制度变迁与地区经济增长之间的协整关系和因果关系,针对“对外贸易发展——促进制度变迁——加速经济增长”的作用机制在不同地区的不同表现,本文提出了相应的政策建议以促进对外贸易与地区经济协调发展。

International experience shows that foreign trade can promote institutional changes and thus accelerate economic growth. In view of the very uneven level of trade and the structure of foreign trade in various regions of China, it is more meaningful to conduct empirical tests on a single province. In this paper, a cointegration vector error correction model is used to examine the cointegration and causal relationship between foreign trade, institutional change and regional economic growth by province as a unit, in view of the development of foreign trade - to promote institutional change - to accelerate the economy Growth "mechanism in different regions of different performance, this paper put forward the appropriate policy recommendations to promote the coordinated development of foreign trade and regional economy.