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特尔斐法(Delphi Model)是一种利用专家意见的方法。这种方法以函询征求所选定的一组专家的意见,然后加以整理、归纳、综合,进行统计处理,将结果匿名返回给各个专家,再次征求他们的意见,进行有控制的反馈。如此经过多次循环、反复,专家们的意见日趋一致,认识和结论愈益统一,专家们的意见,与结论的可靠性亦更为提高,从而为企业提供了更接近实际的、可行的选择或决策依据。这种方法既保持了
The Delphi Model is a way of using expert advice. This method seeks the opinions of a selected group of experts by mail and then organizes, summarizes, synthesizes and conducts statistical processing, returns the results anonymously to various experts, and solicits their opinions again for controlled feedback. After many times of repetition and repetition, the opinions of experts are becoming more and more consistent, the awareness and conclusion become more and more unified, and the opinions of experts and the reliability of the conclusion are further improved, thus providing enterprises with more realistic and feasible options or Decision-making basis. This method is maintained