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台风路径的统计-动力预报是台风路径业务预报中比较有成效的方法之一。我们在分析了国内外现有台风路径统计动力预报方案的基础上,提出了一个利用因子场的主要信息,引进与预报时段具有相同时刻的环流预报因子的台风路径随机动力预报模式。这个模式的主
Typhoon Path Statistics - Power forecasting is one of the more effective methods in the forecast of typhoon trails. Based on the analysis of the statistical power forecasting schemes for the existing typhoon routes at home and abroad, we propose a stochastic power forecasting model that uses the main information of the factor fields and introduces the circulation forecasting factor at the same time as the forecasting horizon. The main mode of this