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在省际人均收入无差距目标下,回答了“落后省份还需要迁出多少人口,发达省份还需迁入多少人口,才能达到省际人口流动趋于平缓”的问题?在城镇和乡村人均收入无差距的目标下,回答了“历年农村还需要向城镇转移多少人口,历年全国合理的城镇化率是多少时,才能达到城乡人口流动趋于平缓”的问题。在农业与和非农业部门人均收入无差距下,回答了“历年农业部门还需向非农业部门转移多少劳动力”的问题。最后,回答了“如果各省城乡无差距,理论城镇化率应是多少;如果各省农业部门和非农业部门收入无差距,如今各省份的理论非农业人口占比多大”的问题。在人口红利消失的背景下,上述这些研究可能为国家利用人口流动推动经济增长,提供部分参考。
Under the goal of non-disparity in provincial per capita income, we answered the question of “how many people need to be relocated in backward provinces and how many people need to be moved in developed provinces in order to achieve a smooth inter-provincial population flow?” In urban and rural areas, Under the goal of a non-disparity in per capita income, we answered the question of “how many rural population will need to be transferred to cities and towns in the past years and what is the reasonable rate of urbanization over the years in order to achieve a smooth urban-rural population flow?” Given that there is no gap between the per capita income of agriculture and that of non-agricultural sectors, the question “How much workforce should be transferred to non-agricultural sectors in the agricultural sector over the years” is answered. Finally, I answered the question, “If there is no disparity between urban and rural areas in each province, what is the theoretical rate of urbanization? If there is no gap between the agricultural and non-agricultural sectors in each province, what is the theoretical non-agricultural population in each province now?” In the context of the disappearance of the demographic dividend, these studies may provide some reference for the country to use population migration to promote economic growth.