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受金融海啸影响,欧美宏观经济持续衰退,欧洲衰退比美国严重,预计整个衰退要持续2～3年,其国内航空运输市场也呈现持续萎缩。虽然我国政府从采取以基础投入来拉动宏观经济到全方位刺激宏观经济,但是鉴于出口和消费信心持续走低(下游产业是我国出口的主体,但受上游产业挤压),该负面影响已经传导到上游产业,预计我国的宏观经济将持续维持低增长。在航空运输市场方面,去年受国家政策的干预影响,去年被约束的部分需求在今年被释放,缓轻宏观经济对航空运输市场的冲击,国内航空运输市场将维持稳定的“同期比”增长;在出口和金融危机的冲击下,国际航空市场将持续萎缩。
Affected by the financial tsunami, the macro economy in Europe and the United States continued to decline. The recession in Europe was more serious than in the United States. It is estimated that the entire recession will last two to three years and its domestic air transport market will also continue to decline. Although our government takes the fundamental investment to stimulate the macroeconomy in all aspects and stimulates the macroeconomy, the negative influence has been transmitted to the view that the export and consumer sentiment continue to decline (the downstream industry is the main body of China’s exports but squeezed by the upstream industries) Upstream industries, China’s macro economy is expected to continue to maintain low growth. In the air transport market, last year was affected by the intervention of state policies. Part of the demand that was restrained last year was released this year, alleviating the macroeconomic impact on the air transport market and the domestic air transport market will remain stable over the same period. Growth; under the impact of the export and financial crisis, the international aviation market will continue to shrink.