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影响结构可靠度的不确定性因素很多,人为失误是其主要的不确定性影响因素,很多建筑结构的失效均可归因于人为失误。故有必要对其人因失误发生的规律进行研究。但由于施工中人为失误发生的复杂性,使得近几年来的研究中定性分析多、定量分析少。其难点之一是在施工过程中人为失误发生概率的合理地确定。本文应用层次分析法(AHP)并结合成功似然指数法(SLIM)来确定施工过程中人为失误发生的概率。该方法运算的结果合理、客观。
There are many uncertainties that affect the structural reliability. Human error is the main factor of uncertainty. Many failures of the structure can be attributed to human error. Therefore, it is necessary to study the law of human error. However, due to the complexity of human error in construction, qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis are few in the research in recent years. One of the difficulties is the reasonable determination of the probability of human error in the construction process. In this paper, the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) combined with the success of the likelihood index method (SLIM) to determine the probability of human error during construction. The result of this method is reasonable and objective.