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猪肉供给量是影响生猪价格变化的主要因素之一。猪肉供给量过少,在社会需求基本不变的情况下势必会出现供不应求的局面,最终引起生猪和猪肉价格的大幅上涨;猪肉供给量过多,在生猪养殖和猪肉供应保持连续性的情况下,消费市场的季节性因素导致猪肉需求量下降,造成供大于求的局面,生猪和猪肉价格会出现下跌,如果生猪市场的产能过剩,则很容易出现价格暴跌的现象~([1])。因此亟需加强对我国生猪供给量的预测,以作为正确指导生猪生产、保证
Pork supply is one of the main factors that affect the price of pigs. Too little supply of pork will inevitably lead to a shortage of supplies in the face of basically unchanged social demand, which will eventually result in a sharp rise in the prices of pigs and pork. In the case of too much pork supply, in the case of continuous pig breeding and pork supply , Seasonal factors in the consumer market led to a drop in pork demand, resulting in a situation of oversupply. Pigs and pork prices will fall. If there is excess capacity in the pig market, the price plummeting is very easy to occur [1]. Therefore, it is urgent to strengthen the prediction of the supply of live pigs in our country as a guide to guide pig production correctly.