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本文通过对我国2009年以来小麦价格波动的回归分析与季节分析,发现我国小麦价格与季节因素、与国内一般物价水平有很大的关系,同时还受各种不确定性的影响。这些不确定性还影响着小麦价格的结构性波动。我国应着力保持小麦生产和流通环节的基本稳定,通过引入技术等来实现小麦产量和小麦供应量的稳定,进而实现小麦价格的稳定。
Through the regression analysis and season analysis of the wheat price fluctuation in our country since 2009, we find that the wheat price and seasonal factors in our country have a great relationship with the general domestic price level, and are also affected by various uncertainties. These uncertainties also affect the structural fluctuations in wheat prices. China should strive to maintain the basic stability of the wheat production and circulation sectors and achieve the stability of wheat production and the supply of wheat through the introduction of technologies so as to achieve the stabilization of the wheat price.