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90年代以来国民经济的高速增长表明,对城市化的渴求、国际收支压力增大、外资大量流入和新产业投资剧增等现象,已非短期周期性波动所能解释。可以肯定地说,这是我国人均收入提高后,引起的产业结构转换现象。从局部出发,是无法理解甚至解释这些现象的,唯有结构性的分析方法才能使我们从光怪陆离的现象中解脱出来,抓住其主要的发展线索。在90年代后期,城市化、国际化和产业结构的高度化是我国经济发展进一步实现小康水平并向中等收入国家迈进的内生性需要,也是国家产业政策和长期规划的聚合点。
The rapid growth of the national economy since the 1990s shows that the thirst for urbanization, increasing pressure on the balance of payments, the influx of foreign capital and the surge in investment in new industries have not been explained by the short-term cyclical fluctuations. It can be affirmed that this is the result of the transformation of the industrial structure caused by the increase of per capita income in our country. From a partial perspective, it is impossible to understand or even explain these phenomena. Only a structural analysis method can free us from bizarre phenomena and grasp its main development clues. In the late 1990s, urbanization, internationalization and the industrialization of the industrial structure were the endogenous needs of our country’s economic development to further realize the well-to-do level and move toward middle-income countries. It was also the convergence point of the state’s industrial policies and long-term planning.