论文部分内容阅读
本研究采用根椐 Thomas.L.Hall 的基本思路改进设计的地图法,对陕西省城固县卫生部门县、乡医机构中医生、护士的需求量作出了预测,结果是:1990年医生、护士的需求量为731人,其中医生482人,护士2人;2000年医生、护士总需求量为1011人,其中医生588人,护士423人。本次尝试性的研究表明:地图法预测卫人力的思路符合初级卫生保健的基本内容,其预测步骤直观,计算过程简单明了。所需数据资料不多,现场收集易,故适宜于农村基层卫生事业管理者的应用,但是在预测过程中,如何确定医疗设施的最佳服务半径和各类医设施卫生人力配备标准是预测的关键,需做进一步的研究,使此方法得到完善。
In this study, the basic map of Thomas L. Hall was used to improve the design of maps. The demand for doctors and nurses in county and township medical institutions in the health-care sector in Chenggu County, Shaanxi Province was predicted. The results were: 1990 doctors, The number of nurses needed was 731, including 482 doctors and 2 nurses. In 2000, the total demand of doctors and nurses was 1011, of which 588 were doctors and 423 were nurses. The tentative research shows that the map method is a basic method for predicting the health of humans and is consistent with the basic content of primary health care. Its forecasting steps are intuitive and the calculation process is simple and straightforward. The data required is not much, and it is easy to collect on the spot, so it is suitable for the application of the rural primary health manager. However, in the forecasting process, how to determine the best service radius of the medical facility and the health manpower standards for various medical facilities are predicted. The key is to do further research to make this method perfect.