Uncertainty in Tropical Cyclone Intensity Predictions due to Uncertainty in Initial Conditions

• 作 者: Chenxi WANG Zhihua ZENG Ming Y
• 机 构: ShanghaiTyphoonInstitute
• 出 处: 大气科学进展:英文版
• 发表日期: 2020年3期
• 关键词: UNCERTAINTY TROPICAL CYCLONE INTENSITY INITIAL CONDITIONS
• 基金项目: the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.41575108 and 41475082).

Focusing on the role of initial condition uncertainty,we use WRF initial perturbation ensemble forecasts to investigate the uncertainty in intensity forecasts of Tropical Cyclone(TC)Rammasun(1409),which is the strongest TC to have made landfall in China d