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黄金价格在2013年的暴跌使得投资者了解黄金价格影响因素以便做出正确的投资决策显得越来越重要。由近年价格增长曲线我们发现黄金价格呈两阶段变化。因此,本文选取1974—2010年的道琼斯工业指数、美国通货膨胀率、美国联邦基金利率、美元指数以及原油价格作为自变量利用stata软件分两阶段对黄金价格进行多元回归分析。经检验,模型拟合较好。
The plunge in gold prices in 2013 has made it more and more important for investors to understand the implications of the gold price in order to make the right investment decisions. From the price growth curve in recent years, we find that the price of gold has changed in two stages. Therefore, this article selects the 1974-2010 Dow Jones Industrial Average, the United States inflation rate, the United States federal funds rate, the US dollar index and crude oil prices as independent variables using stata software in two stages of multiple regression analysis of gold prices. After testing, the model fit better.