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本文采用空间计量学的方法,在描述我国FDI空间演化轨迹的基础上,建立了一个FDI地区分布决定因素的空间模型,运用1987-2007年的面板数据,分析我国FDI空间演化的规律。计量结果发现,集聚效应对于吸引我国FDI有着很大程度的影响,相邻省份之间的空间溢出效应促使FDI更多的是由核心省份向周边省份扩散。并根据结论提出了引导FDI空间的合理转移,缩小地区差距的政策建议。
Based on the description of the spatial evolution of FDI in our country, this paper establishes a spatial model of the determinants of the distribution of FDI in the region. Using the panel data from 1987 to 2007, this paper analyzes the law of spatial evolution of FDI in China. The results of the measurement show that the agglomeration effect has a great impact on attracting FDI in our country. The spillover effect among neighboring provinces urges FDI to diffuse more from the core provinces to neighboring provinces. And based on the conclusion, it puts forward the policy recommendations to guide the rational transfer of FDI space and narrow the regional disparity.