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通过对广西15家代表性糖厂、10个地市和自治区历年原料蔗产量与气象条件关系的研究,找出了引起广西各地原料蔗产量波动的主要气象因子:早春的低温、春末夏初的干旱、盛夏的高温少雨和秋季干旱。并运用数学方法确定各地气象因子对产量影响的主次关系。所研制的糖厂、地市和自治区三级产量气象预报模式,经3年试报检验,均具有较强的预报能力。这一结果对指导广西糖业生产具有重要意义。
By studying the relationship between the output of raw sugarcane and the weather conditions in 15 representative sugar mills in Guangxi, 10 prefectures and autonomous regions, the main meteorological factors that caused the fluctuation of raw sugar cane production in various regions of Guangxi were found: low temperature in early spring, early spring and early summer Drought, summer heat and rain and autumn drought. And use mathematical methods to determine the primary and secondary effects of the meteorological factors on the yield. Developed by the sugar mills, municipalities and autonomous regions, three-level weather forecasting model, after three years of test reports, all have a strong ability to forecast. This result is of great significance to guide the production of sugar in Guangxi.