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今年一季度,国民经济继续保持了去年以来较快增长的良好势头,多数宏观经济指标增长强劲,特别是居民消费价格指数在持续下跌一年后开始由负转正,生产资料价格强劲反弹,通货紧缩压力明显缓解。但是,对当前价格上涨也有人表示担心。我们认为,短期内物价回升力度有限,不易引发通货膨胀。短期内物价出现加快上涨的可能性较小目前,虽然价格总水平呈现出一定的回升态势,但未来一段时间物价是否出现加快上涨的趋势,取决于外部环境和内需增长的变化。从外部环境看,成本推动的价格上升趋势很难延续。由于伊拉克战争的影
In the first quarter of this year, the national economy continued its good momentum of rapid growth since last year. Most macroeconomic indicators showed strong growth. In particular, the consumer price index started to turn negative from positive one year after falling continuously. The price of production materials rebounded strongly and deflation Pressure was relieved. However, others are worried about the current price increase. We think the price recovery in the short term is limited and inflation will not easily be triggered. In the short term, there is a small possibility that prices will accelerate upward. At present, although the general price level shows a certain upward trend, whether prices will accelerate upward in the future depends on changes in the external environment and domestic demand growth. From the external environment, cost-driven upward trend in prices is difficult to continue. Due to the shadow of the Iraq war