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基于水基系统概念和内涵建立了东江流域水基系统健康评价指标体系,应用层次分析法得到各指标权重,根据系统动力学方法构建了东江流域水基系统健康评价模型,以东江流域2005、2010年资料为基础,利用系统动力学模型模拟了东江流域水基系统在不同情景模式下2011～2030年的健康状态,得到不同模式下各指标的变化趋势;并对各指标进行反馈调节以促使东江流域水基系统朝健康、稳定的方向发展。
Based on the concept and connotation of water-based system, established the health evaluation index system of water-based system in Dongjiang River Basin, obtained the weight of each index by AHP, and constructed the water-based system health evaluation model of Dongjiang River Basin according to the system dynamics method. Year basis, the system dynamic model was used to simulate the state of health of the water system in Dongjiang River valley from 2011 to 2030 under different scenarios, and the trend of each index in different modes was obtained. And the feedback adjustment of each index to promote the Dongjiang River Water-based drainage system in the direction of healthy and stable development.