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据欧洲复兴开发银行的一份报告说,俄罗斯1997年经济可增长1%,中欧、东欧以及前苏联总体 GDP 将增长1.7%。1997年俄罗斯经济明显好于上年。首先,经济下滑局面基本得到控制。1月~10月与上年同期相比,GDP 增长0.3%,第一季度工业产值月均增长0.7%,从6月份起月均增长2%,10月份增长2.3%。另外,1月~9月,零售商品流转额增长0.7%,居民实际货币收入增长2.7%。其次,宏观经济趋向稳定。俄政府估计,全年通胀率可能为12%~14%。卢布汇率基本稳定,卢布对美元的比价未出现大起大落的情况。国家外汇储备与黄金储备增加,到7月1日,外汇储备已达238亿美元,而上年同期为160
According to a report of the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, Russia’s economy will grow by 1% in 1997, while its overall GDP will increase by 1.7% in Central and Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union. In 1997, Russia’s economy was significantly better than the previous year. First, the economic downturn is basically under control. From January to October, compared with the same period of the previous year, GDP increased by 0.3%. The industrial output in the first quarter increased by an average of 0.7% monthly, with an average monthly increase of 2% since June and a 2.3% increase in October. In addition, from January to September, the turnover of retail merchandise increased by 0.7% and the real income of residents increased by 2.7%. Second, the macro economy tends to be stable. The Russian government estimates that the annual inflation rate may be 12% to 14%. The exchange rate of the ruble was basically stable, and the ratio of the ruble against the U.S. dollar did not show ups and downs. As the national foreign exchange reserves and gold reserves increased, by July 1 foreign exchange reserves had reached 23.8 billion U.S. dollars, up from 160 in the same period of last year