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国际外围环境对国内通货膨胀的影响主要通过资本项目和经常性项目两条路径,在经常性项目下,国际市场的变化会影响企业出口产品的利润加成,也会通过进口生产资料价格影响国内企业的边际成本,这都可能成为国外通货膨胀的输入路径。本文实证研究发现,人们未来的通胀预期对国内通货膨胀率的影响十分显著,同时国际市场的竞争与需求变化会显著的影响企业的利润加成并成为国际通货膨胀输入的有效路径。
The impact of the international external environment on domestic inflation mainly passes through two channels: capital account items and recurrent items. Under the current items, the changes in the international market will affect the profit margins of the export products of enterprises and will also affect the domestic prices through the price of imported means of production The marginal cost of the business, which may become the inflow of foreign input path. This empirical study finds that people's expectation of future inflation has a significant impact on the domestic inflation rate. Meanwhile, the competition and demand changes in the international market will significantly affect the profit-making of enterprises and become an effective path for international inflation.