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本文将政府支出分为基本建设支出、民生支出和行政经费支出,利用非线性有效消费函数建立了消费效用最优模型,分析政府支出结构对居民消费的影响。在理论模型的基础上,利用协整理论和误差修正模型(ECM)进行实证分析,结果表明:不论在短期还是长期内,政府基本建设支出对居民消费产生了显著的挤出效应,而政府行政经费支出对居民消费产生了挤出效应,但挤出效应不显著;在长期内政府民生支出对居民消费产生了显著的引致效应,但在短期内产生的引致效应还不显著。
In this paper, the government expenditure is divided into capital construction expenditure, livelihood expenditure and administrative expenditure, and the non-linear effective consumption function is used to establish the consumption utility model to analyze the influence of government expenditure structure on household consumption. On the basis of the theoretical model, the paper uses the cointegration theory and the error correction model (ECM) for empirical analysis. The results show that government spending on infrastructure construction has a significant crowding-out effect on household consumption both in the short and long term, while government administration Expenditure has exerted a crowding-out effect on the consumption of residents, but the crowding-out effect is insignificant; in the long run, government spending on people’s livelihood has had a significant inducing effect on residents’ consumption, but the induced effect in the short run is not significant.