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文章认为,我国在利用“非平衡增长”模式推进工业化的进程中,主要是依靠农业“剩余”来为工业进行资本的初始积累的。而在以行政命令为主要特征的旧体制下,利用旧中国遗留下来的工农业产品价格的“剪刀差”则是维持高积累和支撑高速度的最有效途径。但是,由于1978年以来农村改革大大削弱了利用“剪刀差”实行强制积累的体制基础,从而在维系高经济增长与传统积累受阻之间形成了尖锐的矛盾。在举借内外债仍不足以维持高积累的条件下,我们终于踏上了“创造钱币”,即用通货膨胀的办法来维系经济高增长的险途。因此,实现由高速增长向适度增长的转变,是当前我国解决通货膨胀问题的关键。文章还就实现适度增长所遇到的若干主要矛盾进行了初步的分析,值得我们进一步探讨。
The article holds that in the process of using “unbalanced growth” mode to promote industrialization, our country mainly relies on agriculture “surplus” to accumulate capital for industry. Under the old system characterized by administrative orders, the “scissors difference” in using the prices of industrial and agricultural products left over from old China is the most effective way to maintain high accumulation and support high speed. However, since 1978, the rural reform has greatly weakened the institutional foundation for using “scissors” to impose compulsory accumulation, thus creating a sharp contradiction between maintaining high economic growth and the obstruction of traditional accumulation. Under the condition that the borrowing of internal and external debts is still not enough to maintain a high level of accumulation, we have finally embarked on “creating money” by using inflation to maintain the high-growth path of economic growth. Therefore, to achieve the transition from high-speed growth to moderate growth is the crux of our current solution to inflation. The article also carried out a preliminary analysis of some major contradictions encountered in achieving moderate growth and deserved further discussion.