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2013年经济大环境的疲软,造成了行业陷入被动局面,成品油需求增速放缓,终端需求持续低迷,炼油企业盈利空间大幅缩减。在新成品油定价机制实施后,成品油的调整基本实现市场化,产能增加资源供应充裕,油荒不见踪迹,但汽增柴降局面加剧。2014年中国经济增长形势仍保持低位,抑制成品油需求量的涨幅,但仍预计成品油全年需求量接近3亿吨。随着国内炼油能力的不断扩张,整体成品油供需保持宽平衡状态。成品油在新机制下仍将保持震荡格局,但油品升级加价政策将全面提高成品油的调价基准。
The weakness of the economic environment in 2013 caused the industry to fall into a passive situation. The demand for refined oil products slowed down. The demand for terminal oil products continued to decline. The profit margin of the refining enterprises plunged dramatically. After the implementation of the pricing mechanism of new refined oil products, the adjustment of refined oil products basically achieved market-oriented growth. With ample supply of resources and abundant oil resources, the shortage of oil wilderness disappeared. In 2014, the economic growth in China remains at a low level, which will curb the increase in the demand for refined products. However, the demand for refined products is still expected to reach nearly 300 million tons a year. With the continuous expansion of domestic refining capacity, the overall refined oil supply and demand remain broadly balanced. Under the new mechanism, refined oil will remain in a turbulent pattern. However, the policy of raising oil price will fully raise the price adjustment benchmark of refined oil products.