论文部分内容阅读
自2005年7月人民币汇率形成机制的重大变革以来,人民币一直保持小幅升值趋势,目前人民币兑美元汇率中间价基本维持在8．04元左右,在美元坚挺的情况下,人民币对美元累计升值近3％,对欧元和日元升值的幅度更大一些。人民币升值将是一个长期趋势,但短期内升幅不会太高,预计2006年升幅将控制在3％左右,对消费、投资、外贸等领域都将产生深远影响,影响最大的是进出口贸易。
Since July 2005 when the Renminbi exchange rate formation mechanism has undergone major changes, the renminbi has maintained a slight upward trend. At present, the central parity rate of the RMB against the U.S. dollar basically keeps at around 8.04 yuan. In the case of a strong U.S. dollar, the Renminbi has risen nearly in value against the U.S. dollar 3%, the euro and the yen appreciated more marginally. Renminbi appreciation will be a long-term trend, but the increase will not be too high in the short term. It is estimated that the increase will be controlled at about 3% in 2006 and will have a far-reaching impact on the fields of consumption, investment and foreign trade. The most significant impact will be on import and export trade.