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依据中棉所12历年区试数据资料,利用灰色系统建模与预测技术,对中棉所12演变进行了预测。结果表明,其呈下降趋势,皮棉产量与纺纱品质均呈上升趋势;产量组分中单株结铃、铃重呈上升趋势,而衣分为下降趋势;纤维主要物理性能指标的变化趋势为绒长变长、比强增加、麦克隆伍升高;抗病性强弱受年份间气候因素影响较大,但仍能看出枯萎病指呈下降趋势,黄萎病指呈明显上升趋势。
Based on the data of CZT 12 regional calendar tests, the evolution of CZS12 was predicted by using the gray system modeling and forecasting techniques. The results showed that it showed a downward trend, lint yield and spinning quality showed an upward trend; yield knot bolls, bolls weight upward trend, while the clothing is divided into downward trend; fiber main physical performance indicators of the trend The length of the cashmere became longer, the specific strength increased, and the length of the wheat increased. The disease resistance strength was greatly affected by the climatic factors in the years. However, it was still seen that the index of wilt disease showed a downward trend and that of Verticillium wilt showed a clear upward trend.