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2009年既不会出现流通中货币数量的减少,也不会出现经济总需求增速继续减慢我国的CPI(居民消费价格指数)和PPI(工业品出厂价格指数)在1月份呈现出双降格局。其实这种涨幅的持续快速回落始自2008年下半年,CPI同比涨幅由2008年4月的8.5%降至今年1月的1%;PPI的同比涨幅由2008年8月的10.1%回落到今年1月的3.3%。CPI和PPI的双降,令各方对我国经济是否会发生通缩的担心不断增大。综合分析各方面情况,预计我国经济今年发生通缩的可能性不大。
In 2009, there will be neither a decrease in the number of currency in circulation nor a slowdown in the growth of total economic demand. The CPI (Consumer Price Index) and PPI (Industrial Ex-factory Price Index) of China show a double drop in January pattern. In fact, the sustained rapid decline of such increase started in the second half of 2008, with the year-on-year rate of increase of CPI dropping from 8.5% in April 2008 to 1% in January this year. The year-on-year increase of PPI dropped from 10.1% in August 2008 to this year 3.3% in January. The double drop in the CPI and the PPI has raised concerns that all parties will deflation in China’s economy. Comprehensive analysis of all aspects of the situation is expected to deflation in our economy this year is unlikely.