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20世纪的拉美主权债务危机与近期发达国家几乎整体性陷入债务危机,不仅会对西方的社会保障与福利制度、民主制度,以及国际投资与贸易自由化产生深远的冲击,也引起了世界各国实务界及学术界对政府债务的经济增长影响机制、政府债务的合理规模与结构、内债与外债对经济增长影响差异等主题的关注与讨论。本文重点结合最近国际形势,以OECD国家2000~2009年政府债务数据为样本构建动态面板模型,不仅基于经济增长视角对政府债务总体规模合理性进行研究,而且从债务结构视角分别比较论证比较内债与外债影响经济增长的差异,以为OECD国家及世界其他各国政府债务规模的控制和危机的防范提供参考和依据。
The crisis of sovereign debt crisis in Latin America in the 20th century and the almost monolithic debt crisis in recent developed countries will not only have a far-reaching impact on the social security and welfare system in the West, the democratic system, and the international investment and trade liberalization, but also have caused the practice of countries all over the world And the academic community on the impact of economic growth in government debt, the reasonable size and structure of government debt, the impact of domestic debt and foreign debt on economic growth and other topics of concern and discussion. This article focuses on the recent international situation and builds a dynamic panel model based on the government debt data from 2000 to 2009 in OECD countries. It not only studies the overall rationality of government debt based on the economic growth perspective, but also compares the domestic debt with the debt structure perspective The difference between foreign debt and economic growth will provide reference and basis for the control of the debt scale and prevention of crisis in OECD countries and other countries in the world.