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在未来20年里,如果对我国现行出版产业政策不作大的调整,我国出版业从整体上不可能实现跨越式发展。要实现跨越式发展,年平均增长速度要达到10％以上。根据最近5年的数据分析也可看出,如果我国出版业的产业政策出现偏差,今后出版业的发展速度可能还会赶不上国民经济的平均发展速度。这是应该引起我们警觉的。总体而言我国出版资本投资的动力不足,资金来源渠道单一,总量受到限制,投资的质量也不高,这在一定程度上限制了我国出版业的发展。出版集团内部如果包括发行集团,势必会产生大量的关联交易,这是市场经济所不允许的。事实上,我国地方出版业中,出版发行隶属于一个集团,是出版业中地方保护主义泛滥的一个根源。
In the next 20 years, if we do not make a big adjustment to our current industrial policy on publishing, the publishing industry in our country can not achieve leapfrog development on the whole. To achieve leapfrog development, the average annual growth rate should reach more than 10%. According to the data analysis of the last five years, we can also see that if the industrial policies of our publishing industry deviate, the pace of the development of the publishing industry in the future may not keep up with the average growth rate of the national economy. This should arouse our vigilance. In general, the motivation of China’s publishing capital investment is not enough, the sources of funds are single, the total amount is limited, and the quality of investment is not high, which to a certain extent limits the development of our publishing industry. If the publishing group within the group, including distribution, is bound to produce a large number of related party transactions, which is not allowed by the market economy. In fact, in the local publishing industry in our country, publishing and publishing belong to a group, which is a root cause of the proliferation of local protectionism in the publishing industry.