削减国内产能 增加石油进口

• 作 者: 管清友
• 机 构: 清华大学国情研究中心能源与气候项目,
• 出 处: 现代商业银行
• 发表日期: 2009年02期
• 关键词: 国际石油市场 石油进口 多些 悲观情绪 产能 见底 金融危机 石油危机 战略石油储备 国家石油储备

高油价周期,本国生产可以多些;低油价周期,进口可以多些。道理虽然简单,操作起来不容易,需要高超的管理和调控艺术,但思路是明确的。以色列继续扩大在加沙地区的地面行动并未继续助推国际油价,国际油价在2009年1月7日大幅下跌12.3%。创2001年9月来最大单日跌幅。对经济低迷的担忧主导了国际石油市场,美国原油库存增加加剧了市场的悲观情绪。当前最大的背景是全球性金融危机还没有见底,主要经济体纷纷步入衰

High oil prices cycle, the domestic production can be more; low oil prices cycle, imports can be more. Although the reason is simple, it is not easy to operate and requires superb management and control arts, but the idea is clear. Israel’s continued expansion of ground operations in Gaza did not continue to boost international oil prices, which plunged 12.3% on January 7, 2009. Year in September 2001 to the largest single-day decline. Concerns about the economic downturn dominating the international oil market, the increase in US crude oil stocks exacerbated the market’s pessimism. The current biggest background is the global financial crisis has not bottomed out, major economies have entered the bad