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眼下,化肥市场呈现供大于求的态势,库存大量增加,价格大幅下滑,生产企业和销售企业愁眉紧锁。据专家预测,今年化肥市场供大于求的矛盾将略有缓解,但难以根本解决。 问题主要出在进口上。我国化肥的自给一度呈现“缺磷少钾氮饱和”的态势,自1994年以来,我国每年化肥进口量均在1000万吨左右。近年来,随着我国化肥生产企业的发展和壮大,总量不足的矛盾有所缓解,结构矛盾更加突出。由于化肥进口多头管理,环节多,化肥进口不能随国内需求缺口的缩小而缩小,时常超额。1995年至1997年,化肥实际进口量均超过40%以上,1999年虽有减少,但到去年11月末的进口量也达到了1247万吨,超额进口已成定局。 化肥淡季储备缺乏,也是目前化肥市场供求失衡的重要原因。去年国家进行了化肥流通体制改革,化肥零售全面放开,这对化肥生产和销售企业进
Right now, the fertilizer market presents the trend of oversupply, a substantial increase in inventories, prices fell sharply, manufacturers and sales companies worried frown. According to the experts’ prediction, the contradiction between oversupply in the fertilizer market will be slightly alleviated this year, but it is hard to be solved at all. The problem is mainly on imports. In our country, the self-sufficiency of chemical fertilizers once presented the situation of “lack of phosphorus, less potassium and nitrogen saturation”. Since 1994, China’s annual import of fertilizer has been around 10 million tons. In recent years, with the development and expansion of fertilizer production enterprises in our country, the contradiction between the shortage of total quantity has been eased and the structural contradictions have become more prominent. Due to the long import of fertilizer management, many links, fertilizer imports can not be reduced as the domestic demand gap narrows, often over. From 1995 to 1997, the actual imports of chemical fertilizers were all above 40%. Although there was a decrease in 1999, the import volume reached 12.47 million tons by the end of November last year. Excessive import is a foregone conclusion. Lack of off-season chemical fertilizer reserves, but also an important reason for the imbalance between supply and demand in the fertilizer market. Last year, the state carried out the reform of fertilizer circulation system, fully liberalized retail sales of fertilizer, which fertilizer production and sales of enterprises into