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文章运用拓展的恒定市场份额模型(CMS),对1997~2011年中国人造板出口大幅增长的成因进行了探讨。指出中国人造板产业的国际竞争力有了显著的提高,并直接推动了中国人造板出口的增长;世界市场需求的增长对人造板出口也起到了一定的促进作用;但出口市场结构不尽合理,起到较小的抑制作用。因此,中国人造板企业应通过拓宽出口渠道、优化市场结构、提升技术水平等措施,巩固和提高产业国际竞争力,促进出口稳定增长。
The article uses the extended constant market share model (CMS) to discuss the causes of the substantial increase of wood-based panel exports in China from 1997 to 2011. It points out that the international competitiveness of China’s wood-based panel industry has been significantly improved and directly promoted the growth of wood-based panel exports in China. The growth of global market demand has also played a certain role in promoting the export of wood-based panels. However, the export market structure is not reasonable , Play a smaller inhibitory effect. Therefore, China’s wood-based panel enterprises should consolidate and enhance the international competitiveness of their industries and promote the steady growth of exports through such measures as expanding export channels, optimizing market structure and upgrading technological level.