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决策是一个颇有些神秘的字眼,常常被认为是少数专家和精英们的专利。实际上,决策是每个人都必须面对的人生课题,正是一个个决策铺就了人生的轨迹、决定了命运的走向。没有哪个人不愿意做出明智的决策,但却很少人能够作出明智的决策,原因在于很多人对决策标准的理解是错误的。那么,究竟什么是好的决策呢?传统的观点认为,好的决策应该是绝对理性的、最优化的,因此统计学的、逻辑学的、数理的公式或公理应该作为衡量决策好坏的标准。然而,无数
Decision-making is a somewhat mystical term, often considered a patent by a few experts and elites. In fact, decision-making is a life issue that everyone must face. It is just a decision that paves the way for life and determines the direction of fate. No one is reluctant to make informed decisions, but few are able to make informed decisions because many people make mistaken understandings of decision-making criteria. So, what is a good decision? The traditional view is that good decisions should be absolutely rational and optimal, so statistical, logical, mathematical formulas or axioms should be used as a measure of good and bad decisions . However, countless