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本文在ASW理论框架基础上将中国28个省区和台湾配对组合,采用1993—2009年的面板数据进行GMM估计,结果显示:海峡两岸经济一体化显著提升海峡两岸的经济增长潜力,完全一体化对经济增长潜力的提升作用大于市场一体化。台湾在市场一体化和完全一体化后经济增长潜力受益最大,分别是大陆28个省区平均值的5.7倍和2.2倍。进一步分析发现:东部与台湾之间的区域一体化所引致的经济增长潜力最大,福建在海峡经济一体化过程中经济增长潜力均高于其他省区。
Based on the ASW theoretical framework, this paper paired 28 Chinese provinces and Taiwan with Taiwan and used the panel data from 1993 to 2009 to estimate the GMM. The results show that the economic integration across the Taiwan Strait greatly enhances the economic growth potential of both sides of the Taiwan Strait and is fully integrated Enhance the potential of economic growth than market integration. After the market integration and full integration, Taiwan has the greatest potential for economic growth, 5.7 times and 2.2 times the average of 28 provinces and regions in mainland China respectively. Further analysis reveals that the potential for economic growth caused by the regional integration between the east and Taiwan is the largest, and the potential for economic growth of Fujian in the process of economic integration across the strait is higher than that of other provinces and autonomous regions.