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“如果世界人口、工业化、污染、粮食生产和资源消耗的增长趋势不变的话,这个星球增长的极限将在未来100年内某个时刻到来。最有可能的结果,将会是在人口和工业能力上出现突然无法控制的下降。”这个颇具预言性的结论,出自1 972年一份由“罗马俱乐部”组织发布的名为《增长的极限》的报告。这份报告展示了一个资源明显有限的世界里以消耗物质为代价追求无限制增长所带来的毁灭性效果,在考虑了各种变量,比如人口增长、工业产值、不可再生资源储量和污染型产出后,预测了在21世纪某个时刻将要发生的“冲击和瓦解”。
“If the world population, industrialization, pollution, food production and consumption of resources continue to grow at the same rate, the limit for the growth of the planet will come sometime in the next 100 years. The most likely outcome will be in population and industry A sudden and uncontrollable decline in ability. ”“ This predictable conclusion came from a report entitled ”The Limits to Growth,“ released by the ”Club Rome“ in 1972. This report shows the devastating effect of the pursuit of unlimited growth at the expense of substances in a clearly resourced world where various variables are taken into account, such as population growth, industrial output, non-renewable resource stocks and pollution-type After the output is projected, ”shock and collapse" will occur sometime in the 21st century.