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在研究中甸—大理地震带活动特征、丽江地区大地震重复性和１９９６ 年２ 月３ 日丽江７ 级地震的强余震活动格局基础上， 认为丽江震区在未来１００ 年内不大可能再度发生７级以上地震， 这对于确定丽江地震灾区恢复重建工作中建筑物的抗震设防标准是重要的。
Based on the study of the activity characteristics of the Zhongdian-Dali seismic zone, the large earthquakes in Lijiang area and the strong aftershock activity pattern of the Lijiang M = 7.0 earthquake on February 3, 1996, it is considered that the Lijiang earthquake zone is unlikely to occur again in the next 100 years. Above earthquakes, which is important for determining the seismic fortification standards of buildings in the reconstruction of Lijiang earthquake-stricken area.