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岁暮年初,又是“梳理时间”。对于习惯于按照时间段来梳理世态变化、产业变化以及国家变化的人们来说,2003年的中国电信业走势真有点儿不那么好把握——不确定性太多。一方面,世界电信业仍处于严冬,并且至今没听见春的脚步。“一枝独秀”的中国电信业还能“秀”多久?能不能避开这场寒流,避开出现先美国、后欧洲、然后波及中国的局面?我们心存疑虑。另一方面,阳光普照下的中国电信业并不是万里晴空,增量不增收、屡禁不止的价格战、频繁发生的互联互通争端、充满悬念的3G牌照等像层层乌云,
Year-end and New Year, but also “combing time.” For those accustomed to combing changes in the world in the light of time, changes in industry and changes in the country, the trend of China’s telecom industry in 2003 is a bit less well-held - with too many uncertainties. On the one hand, the telecommunications industry in the world is still in a severe winter and so far no news of the spring has been heard. How long can the “thriving” telecom industry in China “show” how long? Can we sidestep the cold weather and avoid the emergence of the United States first, then Europe and then China? We are skeptical. On the other hand, China’s telecom industry under the sun is not clear-cut, increasing its revenue without increasing prices. Repeated sales of price wars, frequent interconnection and disputes, and suspenseful 3G licenses are just like layers of clouds,