论文部分内容阅读
2008年7月15日至8月29日,国际金融市场发生剧变,美元汇率一改颓势,呈现出短期反弹的上升势头,油价和金价上行止步,呈现出高位下滑的短期趋势,欧美股市和新兴市场股市出现短期趋势错配现象,与大部分欧美股指短期反弹截然不同,许多新兴市场股指依旧处于下降通道。从根本上看,国际金融市场的剧变反映了世界经济领域的潜流涌动,即全球经济周期的分化和国际资本流动的可能变化。
From July 15 to August 29, 2008, the international financial market changed drastically and the exchange rate of the U.S. dollar changed its downward trend, showing a rising trend of short-term rebound. Oil prices and gold prices went up. The short-term trend of declining highs showed a short-term trend. European and US stock markets and emerging Market stocks appear short-term trend mismatch phenomenon, and most short-term rally in Europe and the United States stock index completely different, many emerging market stock index is still in decline channel. Fundamentally, the drastic changes in the international financial markets have reflected the undercurrent in the world economy, namely, the polarization of the global economic cycle and the possible changes in international capital flows.