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在制度分析从新古典范式下的结果均衡观转向过程演化观后,对制度演化过程进行系统考查成为必然。从个体习惯到群体习俗、从惯例到制度的演化过程中,考查个体认知与个体习惯的关系成为整个制度分析框架的基础。本文试图在相关学科已有的成果基础上,应用贝叶斯调整方式分析个体的经验积累与认知进步对个体的行为选择和习惯形成的作用。最后以一个已有的考查科技用户网络信息搜索行为特点的实验数据作为经验解释依据。
After institutional analysis shifts from the balanced view of results under the neoclassical paradigm to the evolution of the process, it is inevitable to systematically examine the evolution of the system. From the habit of an individual to the custom of a group, the relationship between individual cognition and individual habit has become the basis of the whole system analysis framework from the habit to the evolution of the system. Based on the existing achievements of related disciplines, this paper attempts to analyze the effect of individual’s experience accumulation and cognitive progress on individual behavior selection and habit formation by using Bayesian adjustment method. Finally, we use an existing experimental data that examines the behavioral characteristics of information search of science and technology users as the basis for empirical study.