当前我国市场物价运行特点及下半年趋势分析

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今年以来我国潜在通货膨胀压力逐渐加速释放,市场物价大幅度上涨,已引起各方面的极大关注。初步分析,上半年我国市场物价运行的主要特点,一是零售价格水平在高起点上启动,并持续保持较高的上升水平。1月份全国零售物价水平比去年同期上升8.4%,这是1990年以来历年年初物价水平上升幅度最高的月份。2月份零售物价上升8.7%,3、4、5月份涨幅升至两位数,上升幅度分别为10.2%、10.9%和12%。上半年预计上升10.5%,这个数字仅比通货膨胀严重的1988年1—5月11.9%的物价平均上升幅度低1.7个百分点,可以说,新一轮通货膨胀已经形成。二是大中城市物价涨幅度,农村物价涨势明显增强。上半年全国35个大中城市职工生活费用价格比去年同期上升17.4%,其中5月份比去年同期上升19.5%,大连、上海、南京、杭州、宁波、青岛、广州、深圳、南宁、贵阳、昆明等 Since the beginning of this year, China’s potential inflationary pressures have gradually accelerated and the market price has risen sharply, which has caused great concern in various fields. According to preliminary analysis, the main features of China’s market price operation in the first half of the year are that the retail price level starts at a high starting point and continues to maintain a relatively high level of increase. In January, the national retail price level rose by 8.4% over the same period of last year. This is the highest monthly increase in the price level since the beginning of the year since 1990. Retail prices rose by 8.7% in February, and rose to double digits in March, April and May, with increases of 10.2%, 10.9%, and 12%, respectively. The first half of the year is expected to increase by 10.5%. This figure is only 1.7 percentage points lower than the average inflation rate of 11.9% in January-May in 1988. It can be said that a new round of inflation has already taken shape. Second, the prices of large and medium-sized cities have risen, and the rural prices have increased significantly. In the first half of the year, the cost of living expenses of employees in 35 large and medium-sized cities nationwide increased by 17.4% over the same period of last year, of which, the total in May increased by 19.5% from the same period of last year. Dalian, Shanghai, Nanjing, Hangzhou, Ningbo, Qingdao, Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Nanning, Guiyang, Kunming Wait
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